Battleground district poll: What voters in key districts are saying on Election Day The fight for control of the House cam...
The fight for control of the House came down to the outcomes of a few key races, despite elections in all 435 congressional districts Tuesday.
On Election Day, The Washington Post and Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University polled voters in 69 competitive districts to see what they thought, how they felt and â€" ultimately â€" how they voted.
Voters in these districts cited President Trump and health care as two of the most factors in the midterm elections.
Where the 69 battleground districts are located
WA
MA
MO
ND
MI
VT
OR
NH
ID
WI
MA
NY
SD
CO
MI
WY
RI
PA
IA
NJ
NE
IL
OH
MD
NE
DE
IN
WV
UT
CO
CA
VA
KS
MO
KY
NC
TX
OK
AR
SC
NM
AR
GA
AL
MS
TN
LA
FL
AL
HI
Wash.
Maine
Mont.
N.D.
Minn.
Vt.
Ore.
N.H.
Idaho
Wis.
Mass.
N.Y.
S.D.
Conn.
Mich.
Wyo.
R.I.
Pa.
Iowa
N.J.
Neb.
Ill.
Ohio
Md.
Nev.
Del.
Ind.
W.Va.
Utah
Colo.
Calif.
Va.
Kan.
Mo.
Ky.
N.C.
Tenn.
Okla.
Ariz.
S.C.
N.M.
Ark.
Ga.
Ala.
Miss.
Texas
La.
Fla.
Alaska
Hawaii
Wash.
Maine
Mont.
N.D.
Minn.
Vt.
Ore.
N.H.
Idaho
Wis.
Mass.
N.Y.
S.D.
Conn.
Mich.
Wyo.
R.I.
Pa.
Iowa
N.J.
Neb.
Ill.
Ohio
Md.
Nev.
Del.
Ind.
W.Va.
Utah
Colo.
Calif.
Va.
Kan.
Mo.
Ky.
N.C.
Tenn.
Okla.
Ariz.
S.C.
N.M.
Ark.
Ga.
Ala.
Miss.
Texas
La.
Fla.
Alaska
Hawaii
While Republicans control most of the 69 competitive districts, Democrats need to win at least 23, nearly half included in the survey.
[Election Day: Trump, health care key issues in race for the House]
The districts at stake
63 districts are controlled by Republicans
AR-2 AZ-2 CA-10 CA-25 CA-39 CA-45 CA-48 CA-49 CA-50 CO-6 FL-15 FL-16 FL-18 FL-26 FL-27 GA-6 IA-1 IA-3 IL-12 IL-13 IL-14 IL-6 KS-2 KS-3 KY-6 ME-2 MI-8 MI-11 MN-2 MN-3 MT-0 NC-2 NC-9 NC-13 NE-2 NJ-3 NJ-7 NJ-11 NM-2 NY-11 NY-19 NY-22 OH-1 OH-12 PA-1 PA-7 PA-10 PA-16 PA-17 SC-1 TX-7 TX-23 TX-32 UT-4 VA-2 VA-5 VA-7 VA-10 WA-3 WA-5 WA-8 WI-1 WV-36 districts are controlled by Democrats
AZ-1 MN-1 MN-8 NH-1 NV-3 PA-8The following are preliminary results from a Washington Post-Schar School poll of voters in 69 battleground districts on â€" and before â€" Election Day. Read more about how the survey was conducted below.
[Preliminary Virginia 10th District Poll Results]
Sex
Men
46% of voters
44%
54
Women
52% of voters
56%
44
Age
18-39
24% of voters
57%
42
40-64
50% of voters
46%
52
65+
26% of voters
50%
49
Race
White
82% of voters
46%
53
NET Nonwhite
18% of voters
67%
31
Education
Non-college
56% of voters
46%
52
College graduate
44% of voters
55%
44
Race by education
White non-college
54% of voters
42%
57
White college
46% of voters
53%
47
Trump approval
Approve
48% of voters
6%
92
Disapprove
52% of voters
90%
9
Party ID
Democrat
33% of voters
95%
5
Republican
34% of voters
9%
90
Independent
33% of voters
51%
47
Party by gender
Democratic men
12% of voters
95%
5
Democratic women
22% of voters
95%
5
Republican men
17% of voters
9%
89
Republican women
17% of voters
9%
91
Independent men
18% of voters
50%
48
Independent women
15% of voters
55%
43
Race/Religion
White evangelical Protestant
15% of voters
16%
84
White mainline Protestant
20% of voters
45%
54
White Catholic
20% of voters
41%
58
Nonwhite Christian
14% of voters
61%
37
No religion
31% of voters
71%
28
Religious attendance
Weekly or more
28% of voters
38%
62
Monthly/Yearly
29% of voters
43%
56
Seldom/Never
42% of voters
60%
38
Most or second most important issue in vote
Economy
37% of voters
25%
73
Health care
43% of voters
77%
22
Trump
42% of voters
75%
24
Supreme Court appointments
18% of voters
49%
51
Immigration
32% of voters
27%
73
Taxes
20% of voters
34%
63
Nancy Pelosi
7% of voters
Not enough respondents for breakdown details
National economy
Excellent
26% of voters
8%
90
Good
52% of voters
56%
44
Not so good/Poor
23% of voters
83%
14
Household income
Under $50K
24% of voters
53%
45
$50K to $99,999
32% of voters
48%
52
$100K+
33% of voters
50%
49
Poll questions
Q: Which of the following words decribe how you personally feel about this year's election campaign?
Overwhelmed
18%
Angry
35%
Well-informed
32%
Patriotic
24%
Hopeful
42%
Sad
28%
Anxious
37%
Empowered
17%
Q: Which of the following was the single most important issue in your vote for the U.S. House of Representatives? Which was the second-most important? (Percent saying each as most important or second most important issue in vote)
Donald Trump
42%
The economy
35%
Health care
43%
Immigration
32%
Supreme Court appointments
18%
Taxes
20%
Nancy Pelosi
7%
Q: When did you make up your mind on who to support for Congress in your district?
In the last few days
8%
In the last week
7%
In October
20%
In September
13%
Before September
53%
Q: Do you think things in this country are headed in the right direction or wrong direction?
Right direction
47%
Wrong direction
53%
Q: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as...
Excellent
26%
Good
52%
Not so good
19%
Poor
4%
Q: Just your best guess, if Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, do you think they would or would not try to impeach President Trump?
Would try to impeach
67%
Would not try to impeach
33%
Q: (Among those who supported a Democratic candidate for House) Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not being impeachment proceedings that could lead to President Trump being removed from office?
Should begin impeachment
64%
Should not begin impeachment
36%
Q: (Among those who supported a Democratic candidate for House) Which of the following candidates would you like to see win the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination?
Joe Biden
34%
Bernie Sanders
15%
Kamala Harris
12%
Elizabeth Warren
10%
Cory Booker
7%
Michael Bloomberg
9%
Beto O'Rourke
8%
Kirsten Gillibrand
2%
John Hickenlooper
2%
Eric Garcetti
0%
Related stories Live results: House of Representatives Live results: Senate Live results: Gubernatorial racesDanielle Rindler contributed to this report.
About this story
These are preliminary results from a Washington Post-Schar School poll of 1,994 voters in 69 battleground districts conducted on Monday and Tuesday, Nov. 5-6. The survey is a final wave of interviews with respondents from a random sample of voters from state voter registration files in September and October. Respondents were contacted by mail and asked to complete surveys online or through an automated phone interview. Those who said they planned to vote early were contacted on Nov. 5 for the current survey, while those who planned to vote on Election Day were contacted Tuesday Nov. 6. Only respondents who reported voting were interviewed. Overall results among battleground district voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. The initial sample of registered voters is weighted to estimates of the population of registered voters in battleground districts; Election Day results are based on the subset of respondents who report actuall y voting and will be weighted to match the proportion voting for Democratic or Republican candidates as results become available. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pa. Icons by Tim Boelaars for The Washington Post and The Noun Project.
Originally published Nov. 6, 2018.
Source: Google News | Netizen 24 United States
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