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Battleground district poll: What voters in key districts are saying on Election Day

Battleground district poll: What voters in key districts are saying on Election Day The fight for control of the House cam...

Battleground district poll: What voters in key districts are saying on Election Day

The fight for control of the House came down to the outcomes of a few key races, despite elections in all 435 congressional districts Tuesday.

On Election Day, The Washington Post and Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University polled voters in 69 competitive districts to see what they thought, how they felt and â€" ultimately â€" how they voted.

Voters in these districts cited President Trump and health care as two of the most factors in the midterm elections.

Where the 69 battleground districts are located

WA

MA

MO

ND

MI

VT

OR

NH

ID

WI

MA

NY

SD

CO

MI

WY

RI

PA

IA

NJ

NE

IL

OH

MD

NE

DE

IN

WV

UT

CO

CA

VA

KS

MO

KY

NC

TX

OK

AR

SC

NM

AR

GA

AL

MS

TN

LA

FL

AL

HI

Wash.

Maine

Mont.

N.D.

Minn.

Vt.

Ore.

N.H.

Idaho

Wis.

Mass.

N.Y.

S.D.

Conn.

Mich.

Wyo.

R.I.

Pa.

Iowa

N.J.

Neb.

Ill.

Ohio

Md.

Nev.

Del.

Ind.

W.Va.

Utah

Colo.

Calif.

Va.

Kan.

Mo.

Ky.

N.C.

Tenn.

Okla.

Ariz.

S.C.

N.M.

Ark.

Ga.

Ala.

Miss.

Texas

La.

Fla.

Alaska

Hawaii

Wash.

Maine

Mont.

N.D.

Minn.

Vt.

Ore.

N.H.

Idaho

Wis.

Mass.

N.Y.

S.D.

Conn.

Mich.

Wyo.

R.I.

Pa.

Iowa

N.J.

Neb.

Ill.

Ohio

Md.

Nev.

Del.

Ind.

W.Va.

Utah

Colo.

Calif.

Va.

Kan.

Mo.

Ky.

N.C.

Tenn.

Okla.

Ariz.

S.C.

N.M.

Ark.

Ga.

Ala.

Miss.

Texas

La.

Fla.

Alaska

Hawaii

While Republicans control most of the 69 competitive districts, Democrats need to win at least 23, nearly half included in the survey.

[Election Day: Trump, health care key issues in race for the House]

The districts at stake

63 districts are controlled by Republicans

AR-2 AZ-2 CA-10 CA-25 CA-39 CA-45 CA-48 CA-49 CA-50 CO-6 FL-15 FL-16 FL-18 FL-26 FL-27 GA-6 IA-1 IA-3 IL-12 IL-13 IL-14 IL-6 KS-2 KS-3 KY-6 ME-2 MI-8 MI-11 MN-2 MN-3 MT-0 NC-2 NC-9 NC-13 NE-2 NJ-3 NJ-7 NJ-11 NM-2 NY-11 NY-19 NY-22 OH-1 OH-12 PA-1 PA-7 PA-10 PA-16 PA-17 SC-1 TX-7 TX-23 TX-32 UT-4 VA-2 VA-5 VA-7 VA-10 WA-3 WA-5 WA-8 WI-1 WV-3

6 districts are controlled by Democrats

AZ-1 MN-1 MN-8 NH-1 NV-3 PA-8

The following are preliminary results from a Washington Post-Schar School poll of voters in 69 battleground districts on â€" and before â€" Election Day. Read more about how the survey was conducted below.

[Preliminary Virginia 10th District Poll Results]

Sex

Men

46% of voters

44%

54

Women

52% of voters

56%

44

Age

18-39

24% of voters

57%

42

40-64

50% of voters

46%

52

65+

26% of voters

50%

49

Race

White

82% of voters

46%

53

NET Nonwhite

18% of voters

67%

31

Education

Non-college

56% of voters

46%

52

College graduate

44% of voters

55%

44

Race by education

White non-college

54% of voters

42%

57

White college

46% of voters

53%

47

Trump approval

Approve

48% of voters

6%

92

Disapprove

52% of voters

90%

9

Party ID

Democrat

33% of voters

95%

5

Republican

34% of voters

9%

90

Independent

33% of voters

51%

47

Party by gender

Democratic men

12% of voters

95%

5

Democratic women

22% of voters

95%

5

Republican men

17% of voters

9%

89

Republican women

17% of voters

9%

91

Independent men

18% of voters

50%

48

Independent women

15% of voters

55%

43

Race/Religion

White evangelical Protestant

15% of voters

16%

84

White mainline Protestant

20% of voters

45%

54

White Catholic

20% of voters

41%

58

Nonwhite Christian

14% of voters

61%

37

No religion

31% of voters

71%

28

Religious attendance

Weekly or more

28% of voters

38%

62

Monthly/Yearly

29% of voters

43%

56

Seldom/Never

42% of voters

60%

38

Most or second most important issue in vote

Economy

37% of voters

25%

73

Health care

43% of voters

77%

22

Trump

42% of voters

75%

24

Supreme Court appointments

18% of voters

49%

51

Immigration

32% of voters

27%

73

Taxes

20% of voters

34%

63

Nancy Pelosi

7% of voters

Not enough respondents for breakdown details

National economy

Excellent

26% of voters

8%

90

Good

52% of voters

56%

44

Not so good/Poor

23% of voters

83%

14

Household income

Under $50K

24% of voters

53%

45

$50K to $99,999

32% of voters

48%

52

$100K+

33% of voters

50%

49

Poll questions

Q: Which of the following words decribe how you personally feel about this year's election campaign?

Overwhelmed

18%

Angry

35%

Well-informed

32%

Patriotic

24%

Hopeful

42%

Sad

28%

Anxious

37%

Empowered

17%

Q: Which of the following was the single most important issue in your vote for the U.S. House of Representatives? Which was the second-most important? (Percent saying each as most important or second most important issue in vote)

Donald Trump

42%

The economy

35%

Health care

43%

Immigration

32%

Supreme Court appointments

18%

Taxes

20%

Nancy Pelosi

7%

Q: When did you make up your mind on who to support for Congress in your district?

In the last few days

8%

In the last week

7%

In October

20%

In September

13%

Before September

53%

Q: Do you think things in this country are headed in the right direction or wrong direction?

Right direction

47%

Wrong direction

53%

Q: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as...

Excellent

26%

Good

52%

Not so good

19%

Poor

4%

Q: Just your best guess, if Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, do you think they would or would not try to impeach President Trump?

Would try to impeach

67%

Would not try to impeach

33%

Q: (Among those who supported a Democratic candidate for House) Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not being impeachment proceedings that could lead to President Trump being removed from office?

Should begin impeachment

64%

Should not begin impeachment

36%

Q: (Among those who supported a Democratic candidate for House) Which of the following candidates would you like to see win the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination?

Joe Biden

34%

Bernie Sanders

15%

Kamala Harris

12%

Elizabeth Warren

10%

Cory Booker

7%

Michael Bloomberg

9%

Beto O'Rourke

8%

Kirsten Gillibrand

2%

John Hickenlooper

2%

Eric Garcetti

0%

Related stories Live results: House of Representatives Live results: Senate Live results: Gubernatorial races

Danielle Rindler contributed to this report.

About this story

These are preliminary results from a Washington Post-Schar School poll of 1,994 voters in 69 battleground districts conducted on Monday and Tuesday, Nov. 5-6. The survey is a final wave of interviews with respondents from a random sample of voters from state voter registration files in September and October. Respondents were contacted by mail and asked to complete surveys online or through an automated phone interview. Those who said they planned to vote early were contacted on Nov. 5 for the current survey, while those who planned to vote on Election Day were contacted Tuesday Nov. 6. Only respondents who reported voting were interviewed. Overall results among battleground district voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. The initial sample of registered voters is weighted to estimates of the population of registered voters in battleground districts; Election Day results are based on the subset of respondents who report actuall y voting and will be weighted to match the proportion voting for Democratic or Republican candidates as results become available. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pa. Icons by Tim Boelaars for The Washington Post and The Noun Project.

Originally published Nov. 6, 2018.

Source: Google News | Netizen 24 United States

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